Everyone thinks they are an “expert” on fantasy sports. That’s why daily fantasy exists. The only thing that separates the FDJunkie from those “other experts” is that he has a platform now to pretend like he’s one.
Big Whip: Carson Palmer @ San Francisco ($8,100) – Palmer hasn’t scored less than 17 points in any given week and his two lowest point total outputs had 352 and 421 passing yards respectively. The only fear here is too good of a performance against a struggling 49ers squad but that’s a minimal risk when being compared to his floor performance at this point. Pair with Larry Fitzgerald
Acid Trip: Brian Hoyer vs New Orleans ($7,100) – After missing a game due to memory less, I can fill the void for Hoyer to remind him that the Saints pass defense has given up 14 passing touchdowns over their last 3 games. In case you are not good at math, that means they are a very bad defense to put it nicely. Pair with DeAndre Hopkins
Absent Slip: Matt Ryan vs Minnesota ($7,900) – I cannot fully understand why Matt Ryan is considered a top quarterback in pricing at this point in the season. He has two of the greatest weapons in the league this year and yet still manages to put up underwhelming performances week in and week out. Minnesota has been strong against the pass which gives you good reason to pass on Ryan.
Big Whip: Thomas Rawls vs Pittsburgh ($6,300) – Meet Thomas “The Train” Rawls. He set a local high school record for yards and touchdowns in a single game that was previously held by Mark Ingram. Now he is all grown up. Bye bye, “The Train”… hello “Black Beast”. Lynch is expected to miss this week and possibly longer which means the door is wide open for Rawls to leave his mark. And this week, as a good friend of mine Drew Carey tends to say, “the price is right”.
Acid Trip: Shaun Draughn vs Arizona ($5,600) – On the surface this may look like a bad match up, but as a Junkie I am used to digging a bit deeper to find the sweet spot and this leads me to Mr. Draughn. What draws me in are Draughns 8 catches in week 11. You know who also had 8 catches out of the backfield in week 11? Giovanni Bernard against the Cardinals. Work horse status combined with the reception potential baseline gives Draughn a great opportunity to exceed his intrinsic value and give you greater roster flexibility.
Absent Slip: LeSean McCoy @ Kansas City ($7,600) – McCoy has been absolutely on fire the last few weeks but unfortunately I think this streak will coming to a streaking hault this week in the land of BBQ. Kansas City’s defense has been on an equally impressive streak of their own over the last few weeks and a Bills team sans Tyrod Taylor will lead to stacked boxes for McCoy. Plus Karlos Williams is due for a touchdown or two after not scoring last week for the first time all season.
DeAndre Hopkins vs New Orleans ($9,400) – The Texans could bring back “Douche McAllistor” (http://theschmozone.com/the-daily-flop/somebody-messed-with-ryan-mallets-wikipedia-page/) and Hopkins will still find a way to put up the weeks top performance. The most match-up proof/quarterback proof player has the most favorable match up. Likely to be 98% owned this week, don’t be in the 2%.
Allen Robinson vs San Diego ($7,900) – If Bortles keeps on Borting, A-Rob is a must play every week. While Hurns is dealing with some abdominal issues, Robinson has stepped into his big boy pants leading a still undervalued Jaguar attack.
Brandin Cooks @ Houston ($7,300) – Don’t forget about the Saints coming out of their bye. Cooks has been the recipient 5 touchdowns over his last three games as Brees has caught some wind. In season long, Cooks has quietly snuck up to the value he was drafted to. Being a FanDueler, you luckily didn’t have to deal with his slow start and can simply cash in on his hot streak.
Stevie Johnson @ Jacksonville ($5,500) – Being the number one target in Phillip Rivers worst game all season resulted in a 7 for 54 stat line. Somehow, that gives you a price change from $5,600 to $5,500. Take advantage of this great price as Stevie Johnson will definitely cost you over 6K next week.
Chris Harper @ Denver ($4,500)– Obligatory minimum priced recommendation continues. Jaron Brown may have been wrong, but a $4,500 Cardinals WR was right. This week, look to Chris Harper. Even if Keshawn Martin returns from injury, it will be hard for him to be on the field all game. Harper has an extra week under his belt with Brady and flashed some signs of potential in the preseason. With Edelman out and Amendola likely to be limited with injury, a new target monster is needed in New England. It’s Harper time!
Mike Evans @ Indianapolis ($8,100) – With the return of Vincent Jackson we already saw 1 touchdown go away from Evans. Austin Seferian-Jenkins return is looming too and with Vontae Davis likely shadowing Evans, famous Jameis will likely be looking for other options and so should you.
Big Whip: Delanie Walker vs Oakland ($6,100) – The Raiders still have not figured out how to guard the Tight End. This fact can easily be overlooked due to Ebron putting up a goose egg last week but don’t forget the Taylor Made touchdown that he let go right through his hands. Walker has been Mariota’s favorite target over the last few games and the return of Kendall Wright should only help open up more opportunities.
Acid Trip: Heath Miller @ Seattle ($5,300) – Coming off their bye, the Steelers are able to give Big Ben some extra rest for his foot and more film room opportunities to identify the Seahawks weakness vs the tight end in the red zone. If you are not sure what I am talking about, pay attention this week as Miller slips between the linebacker and safety for a touchdown or two.
Absent Slip: Tyler Eifert vs St Louis ($6,200) – Eifert has dropped a few duds this year and I feel like this week is going to be another one of those kind of games. He has 5 touchdowns over the last three games but only on 13 catches. St Louis has a strong defense so the Bengals may not get as many red zone looks and if this plays out, less opportunities for the red rifle to find his red zone monster for scores.
If you’ve got the money, spend it on the Arizona Cardinals ($5,300) who host Blaine Gabbert this week. They are a safe play but also the most expensive. If you need a bargain, we can dip back into the well for some more Kansas City Chiefs ($4,500) who most likely will get to face an EJ Manuel led Bills offense. New York Jets ($4,500) hosting Miami isn’t too shabby either.
How did you do on Turkey Day? Were you able to eat more than Fat Eddy? Hopefully by now you have arisen from your food coma and are putting your recently acquired winnings from the early slate to work for an even greater ROI. Please do share with me up on twitter @FDJunkie. Good luck trippin’ in the remainder of Week 12.